The GOP Blackbox
Who’s leading in the GOP horse-race? Depends on who you ask. Here are the sources I’ve been able to track down that purport to show the total delegates allotted by primaries/caucus so far.
| Source: | CNN | CBS | ABC | MSNBC | MyDD | Romney | RCP |
| Romney | 24 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
| Huckabee | 18 | 1 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| McCain | 10 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| Thompson | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| Paul | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Giuliani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Hunter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
At least we can agree that Giuliani is a loser.
Update: RCP added and MyDD corrected.
Update II: I believe the source of much confusion is what to do with the delegates from Iowa, which haven’t exactly been allocated yet. Wikipedia explains:
The non-binding results are tabulated and reported to the state party, which releases the results to the media. Delegates from the precinct caucuses go on to the county conventions, which choose delegates to the district conventions, which in turn selects delegates to the Iowa State Convention. Thus it is the Republican Iowa State Convention, not the precinct caucuses, which select the ultimate delegates to the Republican National Convention in Iowa. All delegates are officially unbound from the results of the precinct caucus, although media organizations either estimate delegate numbers by estimating county convention results or simply divide them proportionally.
Thus one could, as CBS and the Romney campaign have done, exclude the Iowa delegates entirely — they are unbound anyway. (However, Romney also seems to be counting unpledged delegates not allocated by primaries.) CNN and RCP have divided the Iowa delegates proportionally, and ABC and MSNBC have divided them up among the top two candidates (according to some rule I have not found). I don’t know what is going on with MyDD.
5 Responses to “The GOP Blackbox”
How can Huckabee have only 1 delegate according to CBS? He WON Iowa!
Ok, I don’t expect much form people who majored in Journalism. But come on Zach! Surly a SPEA grad can look into the state parties rules and determine for certain how the delegates are divvied up.
(Of course you could reply that a CS major is best suited for determining the rules and then writing a reusable application to calculate the totals. Let’s not go there)
I assume its a typo, or they arent awarding him the Iowa delegates because the Republican Iowa State Convention formally selects the delegates.
Darn, I was hoping one of the primaries would spawn the headline Night Of The Hunter.
I don’t know what is going on with MyDD.
The presidential primaries, just like the Electoral College, if it was tabulated over a bucket at Nicks.