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September 01, 2006

What Game Are These Guys Watching?

Don't look now, but 7 of the 12 NFL "experts" on ESPN.com picked the Indianapolis Colts to win the Super Bowl this year. Do these guys not realize Peyton Manning is still the Colts' quarterback? I know this is blasphemy, but if your QB can't avoid the rush and can't handle the blame for past playoff letdowns ("idiot kicker" "there were protection issues"), you've got a lot to prove.

Then there's the power rankings
. The team that shot itself in the foot repeatedly in the Super Bowl, reloaded, then fired again, gets the top spot. Go figure. (the team that won the game is returning 19 of 22 starters, I should mention)

I vaguely remember back in the go-go '90s some news show putting stock portfolios picked by the experts up against a portfolio picked by a trained monkey throwing darts at a board. The monkey's picks frequently outperformed the picks of the experts. Some of these NFL guys would fare no better.

Come to think of it, maybe I should use that methodology to pick my fantasy team this year. Of course, with my luck, the monkey will hit all Cleveland Browns.

Posted by David Darlington at September 1, 2006 09:27 PM

Comments

The dartboard thing was (and still is, IIRC) a ongoing feature of the Wall Street Journal; the monkey has held his own against the investment sharpies. That often is cited as a reason not to invest in actively managed mutual funds and to go with index funds.

Posted by: Mark Byron at September 3, 2006 03:40 PM | permalink

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