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February 20, 2006

A Moment for 2008

Time's Michael Duffy appeared on The Chris Matthews Show this weekend and told Matthews that Sen. John McCain has wrapped up serious fundraising support from several of the Republican Party's "Regents," who are the heaviest of the heavy-hitting fundraisers. Duffy repeats his scoop in a recent post on Time.com that views the Regents' support as another feather in the Senator's well-worn cap. In the crowded field of potential Republican presidential candidates searching for an advantage, the Regents might be McCain's big break.

Hawkeyes and mountain men will have picked my candidate long before I pick up a ballot thanks to Indiana's late primary, and that's life. Despite this disenfranchisement, I pay attention to the early horserace, and it looks like McCain is ready to take the leap, especially since the Regents are pledging their considerable aid.

Thinking about McCain led me to think about his likely opponent, Sen. Clinton, and I wonder how much her probable presence factored into the Regents' decision. McCain's public image ostensibly makes him more attractive to swing voters than people like George Allen (cowboy-boot wearing, plain-talking sports fan, anyone?) and Mormon Mitt Romney, and the Regents might think he has the best shot to send Hill back to, well, The Hill.

I'll caution my Republican friends right here and now not to fall into this trap. I know that history isn't a popular subject these days, but we can really learn something from a mistake Democrats made way back in 2004 with their "Anybody but Bush" strategy. The Ds ended up with a panderer and a dull candidate. Republicans ought not nominate someone they think will match up well against Hillary; they need to nominate the strongest candidate.

Continuing on this theme... a wise old attorney once advised me to make the opponent fight on my turf. Make the first offer, file the first motion, etc. That way, the battle is on ground where I feel most comfortable. Picking a presidential candidate offers the same challenge. I'd like to see the Republican nominee be someone who will bring the fight to favorable turf. The GOP doesn't want to out-Hillary her; she should be forced to beat the GOP nominee on Republicans' own terms. McCain might turn out to be the right candidate, but if he is, it won't be because some rich old hacks think he matches up well to Sen. Clinton, it'll be on his own merits and his ability to control the debate. I hope the Regents considered this.

Posted by Adam Packer at February 20, 2006 01:52 PM

Comments

Forget Hillary. The McCain-Clinton matchup is just some kind of beltway journalist wet dream. Speaking as a moderate NY Dem, I can assure you that the feeling among most of us and those to our left is ABH, Anybody But Hillary.

Lefties hate her Iraq policy (or lack of one - I still can't get a response from her office on whether she's pro or con 'permanent bases' in Iraq). Moderates like me don't like her for her Kerry-like tendencies towards Senatorial garbled wonk-speak. All of us seem to find her too poll driven and her clever positioning of herself has little appeal for any of us. We'll be looking for leadership next time around, not electability.

As far as McCain goes, I find the beltway journalist adulation of him annoying - is he really God's gift to American politics or just an above-average pol with a great back-story?

I'm curious if conservatives feel the same way - does McCain appeal to you? And what about Giulani, does he have a shot? Frist?


Posted by: JohnS at February 21, 2006 10:16 AM | permalink

The principle of protecting individual liberty by limiting governmental intrusion into personal freedom has been a bedrock of conservative principles. We have long believed that it is important to keep such intrusions to a minimum, and when it is necessary, to do so at the lowest practical level of government. This helps keep decision making as local as possible, maximizing the extent to which our laws reflect the desires of the people living under them.

Many conservatives have gone astray from this principle, seeking to federalize social and moral issues, just as liberals do. The only difference is which pet issues and positions on issues they endorse. The substitution of limiting governmental intrusion for a “conservative social agenda� has contributed to the “culture wars� and increasing polarization we see today.

The victory of either the Democrats or the Republicans has come to mean that one large part of the population will have another large segment attempt to force their personal mores upon them. This change in philosophy is reactionary and in part understandable. The liberals had so dominated the Supreme Court and Congress for so long that they had succeeded in imposing a federal government with an extreme liberal agenda upon the entire country.

So many issues that are rooted in a person's core personal values and religious beliefs have been incorporated into a liberal “win� in the federal courts or national legislation that those on the other side of these issues felt besieged and attacked. As a shift toward more conservative beliefs in this country has occurred, more and more people have found themselves in a nation where government policy and the law no longer represents them, and seems in fact to be hostile toward them.

The current environment of “litmus test� elections on social issues is not, however, the right answer. It can only lead to further divisiveness. Conservatives need to eschew the liberal approach, and return to fighting for the more fundamental belief that the government that governs least governs best.

New York should not have to live with the views of Alabama ruling their lives, and vice versa. If people in Chicago believe school vouchers give inner city children a better shot at a quality education, and parents in San Fransisco do not, let them go their own way. That is called democracy and freedom. If parents in Phoenix think that saying the Pledge of Allegiance is the best thing since sliced bread, and those in Minneapolis don't, so be it.

The principled course of conservatism is to continue to reign in courts that unnecessarily impose their own beliefs and take away the right of our people to decide through elections. At the same time, we must avoid pushing strategies that impose socially conservative values on everyone. A constitutional ban on gay marriage, for example, is a bad idea. Let Vermont do what Vermont chooses.

A pragmatic cost of small tent thinking is that we stand to lose some of our own best candidates. A case in point is the viability of Rudy Giuliani as a Republican candidate for President. He is just about universally acknowledged as a terrific leader and possessing the qualities of which strong President's are made. Many believe he could never get the nomination, and they may be right. The reason is that he fails a few “litmus test� issues. Specifically, he is not anti-abortion and supports gay rights.

John McCain has the same “problems� as a candidate. Either one would whip Hillary or any other Democrat in the election with room to spare. Enforcement of a conservative social orthodoxy is not only a loss of principle, it is a loser at the ballot box.

http://theflyoverzone.blogspot.com/2006/02/when-conservatives-arent.html

Posted by: Brandon at February 21, 2006 04:34 PM | permalink

Good for you and your fellow Ds, JohnS, if they really are going for leadership over electability. I think that's a good starting point for a president.

That's why I like McCain. I think he has a strong presence and he has credibility throughout the population. He's strong regardless of his views on torture, campaign finance, etc. I think those attributes make him a better choice for president than, say, Steve Forbes or John Kerry, both of whom have had millions of people and dollars behind their campaigns in recent memory. I don't know if he's my man yet, but he's a nice frontrunner at this stage in the game.

I think I see where Brandon's going, and it was the subject of my essay on RINO Day last year. The Republican Party should be a big tent, blah, blah, see Ahnold's speech at the 04 RNC. To that point, McCain deserves consideration. Where I lose Brandon is his last paragraph. The point is not to whip Hillary; what if JohnS is right and she's not the nominee? The goal shouldn't be beating Hillary, it should be finding a President. The whipping of the D will take care of itself if the right person's on the GOP ticket.

Posted by: Adam Packer at February 21, 2006 05:30 PM | permalink

Bah

I'm for Condi 2008

Posted by: Dave S. at February 22, 2006 12:17 AM | permalink

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