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November 18, 2005
This Just In
Groundbreaking CNN reporter Chris Isidore has filed an insightful new report titled, "Housing boom past its peak?" He writes: "Half the homes sold for more than the median and half for less." I'm not joking, and neither is Chris.
This housing boom problem is expected to worsen because 3 out of every 4 homeowners currently make up 75% of the homeowning population. But take these figures with a grain of salt. I've been told that roughly 50% of journalists graduated in the bottom half of their class, so you never know who's reporting this stuff.
Posted by Joshua Claybourn at November 18, 2005 12:00 AM
Posted by: Glenn at November 18, 2005 03:48 AM | permalink
I've been told that roughly 50% of journalists graduated in the bottom half of their class, so you never know who's reporting this stuff.
Hey, how'd you get ahold of my transcripts?!? [j/k]
But you forgot one. The George Carlin line: Think about how stupid the average person is and realize that half of them are stupider than that.
Posted by: Off Colfax at November 18, 2005 06:20 AM | permalink
I am not a statistician but doesn't the report refer to two different numbers: the number of homes sold and the selling prices. The median of one doesn't necessarily imply the midpoint of the other.
Posted by: JackSquat at November 18, 2005 06:57 AM | permalink
To be fair, I think he was trying to explain what median price means. (And did it rather clumsily)
Posted by: Chip at November 18, 2005 07:11 AM | permalink
And did you know that 61.75% of all statistics are made up on the spot?
Posted by: Patrick Mead at November 18, 2005 10:23 AM | permalink
Jack -
No, the sentence in question says that half the houses sold for mre than the median price and half for less. Which is kind of the definition of median. It's redundant, and it's existence implies one of two things: CNN doesn't know what median means, or they assume their consumers don't.
Posted by: Jannia at November 18, 2005 05:35 PM | permalink
Posted by: Sarah Angeline at November 18, 2005 10:33 PM | permalink
I laughed out loud when I read this, so thanks for that Josh. A good laugh is always worth having.
But I'm with Chip (above) - in the context of the article, it is pretty clear that the author is giving a definition of median, albeit rather clumsily.
Is the statistical use of "median" widely understood? How many 'In the Agora' readers could supply a definition?
Posted by: Richard Hall at November 19, 2005 07:51 AM | permalink
Actually, probably far less than half of all journalists graduated in the bottom half of their class. Half of journalism majors would have, but many in the bottom half have probably gone into other professions than journalism (such as PR), either because they couldn't get jobs as journalists or decided they didn't like it anyway since they weren't that good at it.
Posted by: wahoofive at November 19, 2005 03:01 PM | permalink
"but many in the bottom half have probably gone into other professions than journalism (such as PR)"
What makes you think that people in the bottom half went into PR?
Posted by: Paul at November 19, 2005 09:44 PM | permalink
How does the market for new homes affect the prices of older homes? I hope to buy a house someday, and have no intention of buying new.
Posted by: Alan K. Henderson at November 21, 2005 12:42 AM | permalink
It depends on consumer tastes, the degree of substitutability, and factors peculiar to the areas where older homes are clustered. All other things being equal, a rising home market should lead to increased prices for old homes and new; if, however, new homes offer some qualities that older homes cannot deliver, the price of old homes may fall. Then, too, older homes may be in neighborhoods--or even cities--considered to be undesirable (see real estate prices in Compton circa 1960) and may thus fall independent of their qualities as homes. (The reverse also happens sometimes.)
Less market-driven is the role that zoning restrictions play in market prices. Many nicer older homes are in areas where home ownership is attenuated by government actions, driving down the price.
Posted by: Paul at November 21, 2005 07:55 AM | permalink
Housing bubble broke about six months ago. Major real-estate industry newsletters stated as much.
Sheesh, it took this long for the MSM to figure that out?
Posted by: Mean Dean at November 21, 2005 01:55 PM | permalink
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