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October 27, 2005
Miers Withdraws, Ed Wins, Film at 11
As I predicted last weekend, Harriet Miers has withdrawn as a nominee to replace Sandra Day O'Connor on the Supreme Court. This paves the way for someone competent to be named to the court. But far more important than that, it wins me another dinner from my buddy Dan Ray. And that's what really matters, right?
In his statement accepting her resignation, Bush of course had to spread a little manure around that even a 10 year old would know is nonsense:
I understand and share her concern, however, about the current state of the Supreme Court confirmation process. It is clear that senators would not be satisfied until they gained access to internal documents concerning advice provided during her tenure at the White House -- disclosures that would undermine a president's ability to receive candid counsel.
Harriet Miers' decision demonstrates her deep respect for this essential aspect of the constitutional separation of powers -- and confirms my deep respect and admiration for her.
Oh yeah, George, her decision was made because of her deep respect for the separation of powers. Could she even give a passable answer on relevant court precedents regarding separation of powers? Highly unlikely. One really has to wonder what it would take to get Bush to admit that he made a mistake. No, George, this one sits squarely in your lap. She withdrew because you should never have nominated her in the first place. It was a monumentally bad decision on every possible level. The real story here is that, for once, our political system actually responded rationally to a really bad idea. As a general rule, really bad ideas get passed rather quickly.
Now the question is, who replaces her? Does Bush continue to look for a woman? Go for the first Hispanic on the court? Or does he go with a solid but confirmable conservative like McConnell or Luttig? I'll reveal my prediction as soon as I figure out what Dan's prediction is. Might as well make it three dinners, eh?
Posted by at October 27, 2005 10:32 AM
Charles Krauthammer looks like a genius now. He is surely the biggest winner in this whole thing. For more see here.
Posted by: Joshua Claybourn at October 27, 2005 11:04 AM | permalink
Yep. Not only did he encourage this, he gave them the script for a way out and Bush is reading directly from it. Of course, that script is quite absurd. Does anyone in their right mind actually believe that this has anything to not wanting to release documents? Then again, politics is often the theater of the absurd.
Posted by: Ed Brayton at October 27, 2005 11:19 AM | permalink
Breaking news: Ed breaks own arm patting self on back. Film at 11.
Posted by: Wagner at October 27, 2005 11:49 AM | permalink
Ed, my guess is that Bush will still be looking to fill the O'Connor seat with a woman, even with confirmable conservatives like McConnell and Luttig waiting in the wings. Identity politics reigns supreme.
Posted by: David Darlington at October 27, 2005 11:53 AM | permalink
Wagner wrote:
Breaking news: Ed breaks own arm patting self on back. Film at 11.
Ha! Guilty as charged, but you know how those bets with your friends go. What's the fun of winning if you can't talk a little trash afterwards?
Posted by: Ed Brayton at October 27, 2005 11:55 AM | permalink
David Darlington wrote:
Ed, my guess is that Bush will still be looking to fill the O'Connor seat with a woman, even with confirmable conservatives like McConnell and Luttig waiting in the wings. Identity politics reigns supreme.
I think that would be rather unfortunate, but Laura Bush seems to be adamant about it. And as anyone who's ever been in a relationship knows - if mama ain't happy, ain't nobody happy. If he decides to go with a woman he basically has two choices - go with a fairly solid conservative with a top notch resume (Edith Jones or Edith Clement) or go with a flamethrower to poke his finger in the Senate's eye (Priscilla Owen or Janice Rogers Brown). Historically, he has a tendency toward the second but after the Miers debacle you would think his political advisers would be adamant about just getting a win here. Either Jones or Clement is confirmable, assuming there's no smoking gun hiding anywhere, and neither would anger his base much. So those are probably fairly safe choices.
Posted by: Ed Brayton at October 27, 2005 12:00 PM | permalink
The orchestration on this withdraw is interesting. The best way to get someone to step aside is to give them the appearance (if only to themselves) that they are taking some moral high road in the process. Here, Miers can withdraw citing her desire to maintain the privilege of her representation in the White House, and not for her lack of experience or cronyism. Sure, it's a face, but like my section chief last summer at the prosecutor's office said, "you have to give 'em something to hang their hat on," be it your judge or politician who needs to step aside.
Posted by: Terry J. Record at October 27, 2005 12:09 PM | permalink
Posted by: Terry J. Record at October 27, 2005 12:10 PM | permalink
Good point, Terry. In general, asking any politician to "admit that he [or she] made a mistake" is asking them to write the next attack ad against themselves. That's an unfortunate reality in politics today. However, in this case an explicit mea culpa also is an unflattering pronouncement about Miers. Hence the polite fiction about the internal documents.
Posted by: Eric Seymour at October 27, 2005 12:21 PM | permalink
But, but, EVERY NOMINEE DESERVES THE COURTESY OF A FAIR UP OR DOWN VOTE!
Or so I've been told.
Posted by: Doug at October 27, 2005 12:31 PM | permalink
How about this one for a good general rule? The White House counsel should never be nominated to federal bench at any level that might result in this kind of conflict? Of course Miers just didn't have the experience in dealing with issues of the Constitution from any source, either as a judge or as an officeholder who has had to consider the Constitutional ramifications of their actions. Of course Supreme Court nominees don't have to be sitting judges, but those who have been successful in those circumstances had things going for them that Miers just didn't have.
Posted by: Jim S at October 27, 2005 09:16 PM | permalink
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