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« A. Q. Khan and the Laboratory of Horrors | Main | Design » December 27, 2004Asteroid ConcernsThe tsunami which recently hit Southeast Asia underscores the importance of taking natural disasters seriously, even when the risk may seem minimal. Now we learn that a Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) is calculated to pass near the Earth in April 2029 with a 1 in 37 chance of hitting earth. Scientists estimate that it measures over 1,300 feet (400-meters) in diameter. Clark Chapman, an asteroid expert at Southwest Research Institute, says, "In all likelihood, in the next few days or weeks, the impact probability will retreat toward zero, and there's no particular reason to alarm people. After all, the potential threat is a quarter-century away. But given the treatment of NEAs in the past, I'm still surprised that a 1-in-40 chance of a country-destroying impact hasn't been noticed by the media." Posted by Joshua Claybourn at December 27, 2004 02:10 PM CommentsJust so you know, it's retreated to zero, as predicted. |
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