« Sightings | Main | Boeing's 737 Gets a New Role »

November 27, 2004

The dollar, the dollar

I really, really don't want to disturb anybody this holiday season, but I do want to remind everyone that the dollar has already fallen off the hill and is dangling, cartoon-like, from a vine growing out of the cliff face. As I blog from an Internet cafe here in a Central European country that favors consonants over vowels, I can feel my wallet getting lighter and lighter and lighter....

This is good news, of course, if you happen to be an American who lives in America and works in a job that ships American goods overseas. It is not so good if you like, say, French wine or Japanese electronics--or if you are an American who does not live in America.

Posted by Paul Musgrave at November 27, 2004 08:19 AM

Comments

I am curious of the fallout here. What I read says that worst case a stock market crash is emminent probably preceded by rapidly rising inflation (a 1987 pattern). I suspect it will take 3 point to effect the housing markets but at some point cash is going to be a good place to be I suppose. How soon is the question.

Posted by: tb at November 27, 2004 01:53 PM | permalink

I posted a question about this on another blog because I hadn't seen a lot about it in any of them before your post. The other reason it's not a good thing for most Americans is its effect on gas prices. One article I read said that as much as $.20 of the current price of a gallon can be traced to the decline of the dollar. Of course another question about it is the willingness of the foreign banks currently financing our current account balance to continue doing so. If that stops imaging a 300% increase in current interest rates.

Posted by: Jim S at November 27, 2004 07:45 PM | permalink

Of course, about 50% of the price of a gallon can be traced to taxes...

Posted by: Bobby A-G at November 28, 2004 08:14 AM | permalink

True. The people who whine about government money for Amtrack being an evil government intrusion into something they shouldn't be doing tend to forget that there is no form of transportation in this country that isn't subsidized in one way or another. Bobby, you know what happened with Amendment 3 here in Missouri. It will be instructive to see which state programs will be cut or eliminated as a result of that. With the Republican ubermajority and its history I expect deep cuts in social programs with a strong possibility of several being eliminated entirely.

Posted by: Jim S at November 28, 2004 10:48 AM | permalink

Just spent a few days in London. Dollars don't buy much. Meanwhile, the old saw about debt of the politicians was, "We owe it to ourselves!" We don't hear that too often anymore. In economic theory prices signal realities. The high prices in London are, somehow, a commentary of the value of American dollars.

Posted by: Anonymous at November 30, 2004 12:05 PM | permalink

 
---- ADVERTISEMENTS ----



Rankings and Aggregators
Technocrati
Blogdom of God
Who Links Here

Site Meter